Where did China's lost share of US imports go?
“Vietnam +2.1 points and Mexico +2.0 points of US import share since 2018”
The brief’s reading of the evidence; not a registered forecast.
Strature GPS · Country
Mexico
3 questions answered in 2 published briefs · Newest release 1 Oct 2026
Geoeconomic · Geopolitical
Questions answered
Questions answered
The questions our published briefs answer that touch Mexico.
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About Mexico (primary)
Country Outlook · C-003 · 1 questionIs exposure to China three risks or one?
Country Outlook · C-004 · 2 questionsIs the main US risk for business now US policy itself?
Has the Western Hemisphere balanced against the United States?
“No balancing coalition formed: Argentina aligned with Washington, Mexico and Canada hedged, Brazil opened a trade track with China, and Colombia broke with Washington rhetorically.”
The brief’s reading of the evidence; not a registered forecast.Primary United States Affected Argentina +8
How do Mexico and Canada differ in their exposure to US policy?
“For the source, the region reaches business through the USMCA perimeter rather than through the border itself: qualification decides most of the tariff bill, and the first measures that ignore qualification fell on Canada.”
The brief’s reading of the evidence; not a registered forecast.Primary United States Affected Canada
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Each answer is quoted verbatim from the brief. Answers with a register ID are our estimates, scored when they resolve; the others are the brief’s reading of the evidence, not forecasts.
Regions in these questions East Asia · Europe · Latin America · North America · Southeast Asia
ISO 3166-1 name: Mexico (MEX). Country and territory names follow common usage and imply no position on sovereignty.
Published briefs
Briefs with Mexico as their subject.
No published brief has Mexico as its subject yet; the questions above name it as affected.
Forecast register
Forecasts on the register attached to the questions above.
Each is our estimate, scored when it resolves. Published briefs only; the full register lists every one.
No registered forecast is attached to these questions yet.
| ID | Forecast | Our estimate | Issued | Resolves by | Status |
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Is exposure to China three risks or one?
C-003 · Edition 1.0
Is the main US risk for business now US policy itself?
C-004 · Edition 1.0
General research for general circulation; not investment, legal or tax advice and not tailored to any reader. Every probability is our estimate, scored when it resolves.
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