Crude oil

Basis: observed (reported by the buyer), mirror (reported by the supplier) or cited (a published figure). Volumes are shown in the one unit the pack uses for this good and are never added. Rows to the EU (27) show on the switch.

1. Canada 0.60Source [19] 2025, above the line.
2. EU (27) 0.08Source [20] 2024, below the line.
3. France 0.11Source [20] 2024, below the line.
4. Germany 0.11Source [20] 2024, below the line.
5. Greece 0.22Source [20] 2024, below the line.
6. Japan 0.35Source [21] 2025, below the line.
7. Poland 0.37Source [20] 2024, below the line.
8. South Korea 0.01Source [22] 2020, below the line. Built from partner data: a lower bound.

Supplier concentration of each buyer’s imports (HHI, 0 = many small suppliers, 1 = one supplier), the latest year on file, as the Energy view computes it. The European Commission draws a line at 0.40. The EU (27) is a bloc, on the switch, never added to its members.

• The Energy view → every fuel, every year on file, with each country’s import dependence
• The Network map → suppliers, straits and buyers on one map, good by good, with the Stock Clock

• Strait of Hormuz closed, restricted or unsafe

  In short In a 30-day closure some oil never arrives at all: of the economies shown, China loses the most, 310-317 million barrels. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; not a forecast; not advice. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; it does not say whether, when or for how long a strait will close.

• Red Sea: half of traffic avoids Bab el-Mandeb for 90 days

  In short Going round the Cape for 90 days loses nothing on lanes with a cited Cape route: 55 million barrels of the economies shown arrive late, most of it the EU's. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; not a forecast; not advice. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; it does not say whether, when or for how long a strait will close.

• Strait of Malacca closed for 14 days

  In short Closing the Strait of Malacca causes delay, not loss: ships go by Lombok and Makassar, about 3 days longer. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; not a forecast; not advice. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; it does not say whether, when or for how long a strait will close.

• S-001 Iran and the Strait of Hormuz: a scenario brief

Every figure on this page carries its source, its year and a link; figures from 2023 or older carry an amber mark. The flows are the Strature network pack (approved, independently re-checked); a good has its own page when the pack carries ten or more flows for it. Shares are as published and never added; volumes stay in the one unit the pack uses for the good and are never added across goods. Routes are modelled main routes. The days in “Who runs short first” are read from the precomputed cases the network map and the scenario pages use; late cargo is never added to lost cargo, and the EU (27) is never added to its members. The forecast box shows our register’s words and estimates unchanged, each scored when it resolves.

1. [1] Strature calculation from EIA (Vortexa data), 2025
2. [2] Share of EU (27)'s crude oil imports from Saudi Arabia. Eurostat, 2025
3. [3] Share of South Korea's crude oil imports from Kazakhstan. KNOC Petroleum Information Center (South Korea), 2025
4. [4] Share of Germany's crude oil imports from United Arab Emirates. Eurostat, 2025
5. [5] Share of its imports of this good that pass the strait. EIA (Vortexa data)
6. [6] Share of its imports of this good that pass the strait. US Energy Information Administration, 2025
7. [7] Share of its imports of this good that pass the strait. Geo News, 2025
8. [8] Share of its imports of this good that pass the strait. Canada Energy Regulator, 2025
9. [9] Share of its exports of this good that pass the strait. IEA (Kpler data), 2025
10. [10] Share of its exports of this good that pass the strait. Shafaq News, 2025
11. [11] Share of its exports of this good that pass the strait. US Energy Information Administration, 2024
12. [12] Statistics Canada, 2025
13. [13] Strature calculation from TASS (Russian state media) via Finance Mail.ru and PPAC, 2025
14. [14] Strature calculation from EIA (Vortexa data), 2025
15. [15] Strature calculation from Eurostat and PPAC, 2025
16. [16] Eurostat Comext, 2025
17. [17] US Energy Information Administration, 2025
18. [18] Ministry of Finance Japan / e-Stat, 2025
19. [19] Supplier concentration (HHI, 0 to 1). Strature calculation from StatCan, 2025
20. [20] Supplier concentration (HHI, 0 to 1). Strature calculation from Eurostat, 2024
21. [21] Supplier concentration (HHI, 0 to 1). Strature calculation from Japan MOF, 2025
22. [22] Supplier concentration (HHI, 0 to 1). Strature calculation from EIA, 2020 2023 or older

Cite this page Strature, “Crude oil”, Strature GPS, https://strature.net/gps/goods/crude-oil/, 31 Oct 2026.