Strature GPS · Risk calendar

What is due, and when

Our calls on the date they are scored, scheduled events, signposts from our readings, risk windows and opportunity dates. Tap any item for its card.

As of 31 Oct 2026 · 1477 items · Calendar feed (.ics)

Under way now19

2026Panama-China Maritime Transport Agreement expires later in 2026; renewal agreed in July (month not set)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
2026G7 coordination on the EU maritime services ban (date not set; on indefinite hold since April 2026)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
H2 2026A chip shortage idles a Mexican car or electronics plant for two weeks: Window in which one analyst said memory shortages could start to reach vehicle outputRisk window(t) tentativeNot rated
22 Augto 20 NovRegistered window: Will US or Israeli forces strike Iran between 22 August and 20 November 2026?Risk window(d) declaredHigh
25 Septo 6 NovQ-023: the brief's six-week windowRisk window(d) declaredNot rated
Oct 2026Q3 2026 budget performance report, late Oct to Nov 2026Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Oct 2026Saudi deposit of about US$5.434bn falls dueScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Oct 2026-Nov 2026Judicial recounts in two ridings; final results then published (no source gives a date)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Oct 2026Rain returns to southern ASEAN as the monsoon rainband moves south (late October to November)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Oct 2026Summary of the 22 Oct MPC meeting (within five working days; by about 29-30 Oct)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Oct-Dec 2026Summer planting: Grain SA input costs for urea and MAP.Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Oct 2026The US raises or widens its Section 301 "forced-labour" tariff on the 60 listed economies: Court of International Trade ruling in No. 26-cv-3555 awaited (window open from Oct 2026; no date given)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated

Next 90 days674

31 OctRefinery-gate diesel discount endsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 OctTarget for a budget deal to avoid provisional twelfthsScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
31 OctRussia's producer diesel export ban ends unless renewedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 OctCGA monthly accounts for April-September 2026 (31 Oct is a Saturday; by the next business day, 2 Nov)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 Novto 31 DecThe November-December drill season Taiwan's ministry namedScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026S&P review of PolandScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Annual 2027 copper concentrate terms between miners and smelters (talks due to begin at LME Week, late Oct 2026)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026NBS industrial output for October, with crude steelScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Next quarterly BCRED tender offer filed (pattern of 2026 filings)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Possible 22nd EU sanctions package (Vlasiuk)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026CSO goods exports for September 2026, the first month with the duty for all firms (from 29 Sep; October is the first full month)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Automotive Industry Association's October output dataScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Next IEA Oil Market Report (month assumed from the monthly cycle)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026ANDA indicators with August deliveriesScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Fourth Russia-Ukraine round, probably Abu DhabiScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Obligation to store water endsScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 NovEarliest reported date for the 2027 eligibility outcomeScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Technical-level US-Russia-Ukraine talks, first half of November (Abu Dhabi or Switzerland)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Next CBS foreign trade release (October data), expected mid-November on the monthly cadence; no CBS date readScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026EU strategic dialogue with refineries (date not set)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026METI announces 2026 and 2027 GDP forecastsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Nov 2026Fourth round of Russia-Ukraine talks, probably Abu DhabiScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Third-quarter operations and trading update (estimate; the 3Q25 update came on 3 Nov 2025)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026UKMTO and IMO counts of attacks on shippingScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026US document on the scope of talks, due in the coming weeksScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026QatarEnergy force majeure runs to the end of November, as reportedScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Taiwan and South Korea October export dataScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Canada-ASEAN Business Forum 2026Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026NATO consultations on Lithuania's request to fire on radar contacts without visual identificationScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026ACP monthly operations summary for October expected early NovemberScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026BCRED reports final Q3 repurchase amountScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Nov 2026Water situation report for OctoberScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026IEA Oil Market Report, November (Hormuz flows, Gulf LPG)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026PPAC preliminary October consumption dataScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026China's November fuel export approvalsScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026October inflation release (PSA)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026-Dec 2026Budget amendment and 2027 budget ordinances (no date in the source)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Strike plans after the US midterm elections, as the New York Times reportedScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Possible UN Security Council meeting on UN forces in south Lebanon (mid-November)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026October consumer prices, a named inputScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Fourth US-brokered Russia-Ukraine round, Abu DhabiScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026CREA monthly analysis of Russian fossil fuel exports for OctoberScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Fourth US-brokered round, Abu Dhabi (Switzerland possible, a US official said)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026IBRM Samar new-car registrations for October 2026, with the Chinese makers' share (early November)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026October 2026 trade figuresScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026MPA October 2026 bunker salesScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026BRGM groundwater bulletin at 1 NovemberScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Possible return of about EUR 20bn of unused SAFE money to the EU pool in the coming weeks (said 20 Oct)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Comex Stat import data for OctoberScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 NovFrance starts a new six-month period of internal border controls, Spain and Italy includedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Nov 2026CREA monthly analysis for October 2026 (mid-November, estimate)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Select Committee and remaining stages, Nov-Dec 2026Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026FranceAgriMer monthly cereal balanceScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026End of QatarEnergy's extended force majeure notice to Pakistani buyers (two anonymous trading sources)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Premier's target for third reading of the supplementary budgetScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Nov 2026Pacific regasification terminal dueScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026SCA or CAPMAS monthly canal revenue for OctoberScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026IAEA Board regular quarterly meeting, with the Director General's report on IranScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026MoF provisional trade data for October 2026Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 NovOleshky local truce due to end (22:59 Kyiv time)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Nov 2026Sejm first reading of the draft law letting railway guards disable drones (published 16 Oct; date not set)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Monthly polls with seat projectionsScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026INE October CPI by subclass decides whether December's cut is 20 centsScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Ukraine-Russia-US technical talks, Abu Dhabi or SwitzerlandScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Speaker's next proposal for Prime Minister, or a new exploratory task (no date announced by 27 Oct)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Next handover stage to the Hungarian client, per RosatomScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026JCG count for October 2026 (final)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 NovRestart of both units assumed in Nuclearelectrica's revised budgetScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Lame-duck session: compressed schedule for FY2027 billsScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026ACAFTA negotiating committee meets, expected late Oct to early Nov (no date published; no report of the meeting found by 27 Oct)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026APEC summit in Shenzhen; Trump expected to attendScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 202622nd package possible, no earlier than November; switch not reported as part of itScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026BAZG foreign-trade figures for October 2026Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Next expected fuel price rise (Ortiz, OCEC-UDP)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026APEC summit in Shenzhen; Trump expected to attend and hopes to meet KimScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Next National Security Council meeting (every two months); possible verification findingScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Economic Survey of Singapore: preliminary 3Q 2026 GDP estimatesScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Nov 2026Pacific regasification terminal due to startScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Winter withdrawal season, Nov 2026 to Mar 2027; Bundesnetzagentur situation reportsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
1 NovMinistry's October export release (October 2023 data came out on 1 Nov)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Results and metro coalition talksScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Fitch review (pattern from its November 2025 action)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026CSO consumer prices and fuel prices for OctoberScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Next Comext monthly update (September data)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Q3 2026 GDP first estimate (quarterly cycle)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Lower-house vote on the tax plan (mid-November)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Eurostat Comext monthly update with September 2026 trade dataScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Fed Financial Stability ReportScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Technical-level US-Russia-Ukraine talks, first half of NovemberScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Enterprise Singapore October 2026 trade dataScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Earliest month for the Section 7 policy direction (no date set; may slip into 2027), published for consultation in Canada Gazette Part I (at least 30 days of comment), then final order and CRTC reviewScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026WHO monthly summary on influenza at the human-animal interfaceScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026TurkStat October CPIScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 NovOPEC+ meeting of the seven countriesScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Nov 2026MSCI November 2026 Index ReviewScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026CSO consumer prices for OctoberScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026UN envoy's monthly Security Council briefing on YemenScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 NovFortnightly review of fuel export dutiesScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Aramco's extra cargoes for Europe for mid-November delivery, as reportedScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026IEA Oil Market Report, NovemberScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026CREA monthly analysis for October 2026 (mid-month, estimate)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 NovMonthly meeting of the seven OPEC+ countries; Saudi November target 10.5 mb/dScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Early Nov 2026November fuel price adjustment, after the October record.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
1 NovOctober exports to the Middle East; US$20.4bn in 2025.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
Early Nov 2026QatarEnergy notices to Asian buyers: force majeure extended or lifted.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
1 NovMOTIE export figures for October; semiconductor exports were US$173.4bn in 2025.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
Early Nov 2026NISR formal trade: exports to the UAE (US$108m in Aug 2026).Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026SARB monetary policy decision; repo at 7.25%.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Whether QatarEnergy extends force majeure on Asian term buyers.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026 (expected)A possible second IMF mission on a new programme (press report).Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
1 NovOPEC+ meets again. Saudi Arabia's required level for November is 10.5 mb/d, against 8.001 mb/d produced in September.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Whether QatarEnergy extends force majeure on its Asian term buyers.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026England's drought carries into 2027 with a ban on non-essential water use: Decision on the three NEUB applications (Nov-Dec; Strature's estimate)Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov–Dec 2026Urea and DAP arrivals from India for the wheat season, under a 60,000 t government purchase (Sep 2026).Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026-Mar 2027Rice planting and the cyclone season.Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026China squeezes Taiwan's sea lanes: quarantine or blockade: PLA's usual Nov-Dec large-drill season watched by Taiwan's defence ministryRisk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026A new break in the Camisea pipeline cuts gas to Lima: Rainy season on the pipeline route begins (to April 2027)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Argentina needs another IMF waiver to keep its programme on track: Possible staff-level agreement on the third review (Nov-Dec 2026)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Norway's gas flows to Europe fall by a third for a week: Winter peak demand, Nov 2026 to Mar 2027, with EU storage below the seasonal norm (68.49% on 15 Sep against a five-year average of 84%)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
1 NovSwitzerland orders power restrictions or quotas in winter 2026-27: Scored window opensRisk window(d) declaredNot rated
Nov 2026Israel or the US hits back at the Dutch settlement-goods ban with a trade or legal measure: Canada introduces settlement-trade restrictions (coming months; window Nov 2026 - Mar 2027)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Two or more undersea cables or pipes cut in one Baltic or North Sea incident: Winter window Nov 2026 - Feb 2027 for anchor-drag incidentsRisk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Norway blames a state for damage to a subsea cable or pipeline: Winter window Nov 2026 to Feb 2027 for anchor-drag incidents (Baltic pattern)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Bangladesh leaves the LDC group on 24 Nov 2026 without an extension: General Assembly action on the extension expected before 24 NovRisk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026Half a million Portuguese customers lose power at once: Winter storm season opens (Kristin struck on 28 Jan 2026)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Nov 2026ASEAN Summit: whether the Canada-ASEAN free trade agreement talks are finalised, the ministers' target.Opportunity(t) tentativeNot rated
2 NovGovernor Cook's pre-hearing position statement dueScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
2 NovLast reported date to announce an exclusion effective 1 Jan 2027Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
2 NovFirst of five remaining Bundestag sitting weeks in 2026Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
2 NovPrime Minister's hour: AUR asks Niculescu to explain the deficitScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
3 NovUnited States midterm electionsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovUS midterm elections; end of the US President's stated no-strike periodScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovUS midterm elections; President Trump said in October the US would not attack Iran before themScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovUS general (midterm) electionsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovUS midterm elections; strike plans reported for after the voteScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovUS midterm elections; FBI notices on threats to election officialsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovNational Assembly solemn vote on the budget's first partScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovEIA weekly retail gasoline and diesel prices (weekly cadence; the source states only the 27 Oct release)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
3 NovUS midterm elections; reported date after which a renewed US campaign may startScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
3 NovUS midterm elections; reported date after which a renewed US campaign against Iran may startScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
3 NovUS midterm electionsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovEIA weekly retail diesel pricesScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovUS midterm elections; a possible resumption of attacks on Iran named by a traderScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
3 NovUS midterm elections; end of the President's no-strike pledgeScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovUS midterm elections; Congress returns afterwardsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovWorld Bank Pink Sheet, next updateScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovWorld Bank Pink Sheet with October pricesScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovUS midterm elections; the New York Times, citing unnamed officials (via France 24, 22 Oct), reported strike plans for after the voteScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovUS midterm elections; reported date after which a renewed campaign may startScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
3 NovRBA Monetary Policy Board decision (meeting 2-3 Nov)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovSolemn vote on the first part (revenue) of the 2027 budget billScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 NovUS midterm elections. Mexico's Secretary of Economy was reported to have said that signing a review deal before them is the US view, not Mexico's (press report, as cited in Q-022).Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
3 NovUS midterm elections. On 8 Oct the US President said there would be no attack on Iran before them and that the blockade stays in force (as reported).Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
4 NovCanadian international merchandise trade, September dataScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
4 NovLocal government electionsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
4 NovNext EIA weekly Brent releaseScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
4 NovCopom rate decision (meeting 3-4 Nov)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
4 NovNovember fuel price adjustment; diesel levy cut of R3/l startsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
4 NovINEGI RAIAVL, October light-vehicle outputScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
4 NovNVE reservoir statistics, then weekly (signpost for the rule)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
4 NovMinutes of the October meetingScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
4 NovEIA Henry Hub monthly series: next release, the first that can carry the October averageScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
4 NovCanadian trade data for September and October, the first full months under the new US duty.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
4 NovStatistics Canada trade data for September and October, the first full months under the 50% US duty on listed Canadian goods in force since 22 Aug 2026.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
4 NovUS trade data for the first months under the 50% US duty on listed Canadian goods: do US buyers switch origin?Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
4 NovCanadian import data by origin, monthly releases.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
4 NovUS trade data for Sep and Oct 2026: the first full months after the 50% duty on listed Canadian goods that can show US buyers moving to Mexican supply.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
4 NovCanadian trade data for September and October, early months under the new US duty.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
4 NovUS trade releases for Sep and Oct 2026: imports of listed Canadian goods in the first full months under the duty.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
4 NovCanadian trade data for September and October, the first full months under the 50% US duty on listed Canadian goods from 19 Aug 2026.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
4 NovCanadian trade data for September and October, early months under the US duty on listed Canadian goods in force since 22 Aug 2026.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
4 NovTrade data for the first full months under the duty: Q-022's decision point.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
4 NovQatarEnergy force majeure to Pakistan due to end (as reported).Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
4 NovThe US tariff wall around Canada and Mexico stays up or grows: First trade data on who pays the Section 338 duty (Q-022)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
4 NovUnited States: the midterms and a year of policy whiplash on trade, the budget and the Fed: Canada trade data release, Q-022 decision pointSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
5 NovNorges Bank policy decisionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
5 NovWhite House committee hearing on Governor Cook (her lawyers say she cannot attend)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
5 NovAPK-N meeting with 26.023 on the agendaScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
5 NovNorges Bank policy rate decisionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
5 NovBank of England MPC decisionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
5 NovBudget 2026Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
5 NovWhite House committee hearing on Governor CookScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
5 NovCanada tables Budget 2026Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
5 NovMPC decision with Monetary Policy ReportScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
5 NovThe Czech central bank lifts its main rate to 4.25% or higher: CNB monetary policy meeting and autumn forecastRisk window(d) declaredNot rated
6 NovFAO Food Price Index for OctoberScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
6 NovEnd of the Q-023 six-week window for Saudi crude reaching buyers.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
6 NovSaudi crude to Poland falls to a trickle for a month: End of Q-023's six-week window for Saudi crude reaching buyersSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
7 NovGeneral electionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
9 Novto 20 NovCOP31 UN climate conference, AntalyaScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
9 NovUS affiliates-rule pause endsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
9 NovUS suspension of the BIS Affiliates Rule ends unless renewedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
9 NovChamber of Deputies debates the 2027 federal budget (PEF), 9-13 NovScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
9 NovAA Ireland monthly fuel price surveyScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
9 NovBIS suspension of the US Affiliates Rule ends unless extended (no extension in the Federal Register on 25 Oct 2026, latest BIS document 14 Oct; a US official reportedly said 10 Jan 2027)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
9 NovAffiliates Rule stay ends unless extendedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
9 NovMexico's 45-day review of Yokohama Tire ends, if Mexico agreed (45 days from the US request; Strature's count)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
9 NovUrgency starts; the measure blocks the agenda of the house holding itScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
9 NovCurrent suspension of USTR's maritime Section 301 action on China ends unless extendedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 NovChina's October 2025 export controls return unless extendedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 NovGovernor Cook's post-hearing written statement dueScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 NovUS egg price for October 2026 releasedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 NovUS CPI for OctoberScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 NovEIA Short-Term Energy OutlookScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 NovUS EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, next releaseScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 NovGovernor Cook's written statement after the hearing dueScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 NovEIA Short-Term Energy Outlook; US CPI for OctoberScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 NovStatistics Norway CPI for OctoberScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 NovEIA Short-Term Energy Outlook, NovemberScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 NovHer written statement after the hearing dueScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 NovChina's suspension of its October-2025 export controls ends unless renewedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 NovChina's suspension of its Oct 2025 export controls ends (MOFCOM-GAC Announcement No. 70 of 2025; no extension listed on 25 Oct 2026)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 NovChina's suspension of its 24% extra duty on US goods ends unless extendedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 NovNISR consumer prices: 17.2% in Sep 2026.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
11 Nov24-hour general strike over housing called by CCOO and UGTScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
11 NovUS troops due to leave after the exerciseScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
11 NovBid deadline for HEREMA's seismic survey tender for western and southern GreeceScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Mid-Nov 2026Customs crude imports for October; 9.03 mb/d in September, 21.5% below a year earlier.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
12 NovDiputacion Permanente votes on RDL 28/2026 and 29/2026 (expected)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
12 NovNOAA next ENSO diagnostic discussionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
12 NovBudget committee final session on the 2027 budgetScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
12 NovDiputacion Permanente votes on the housing decree-laws (expected)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
12 NovCentral bank rate decisionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
12 NovNOAA CPC ENSO diagnostic discussionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
12 NovNOAA ENSO discussionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
12 NovLast day to put the 2027 budget bill to the RiksdagScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
12 NovNext NOAA ENSO diagnostic discussionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
13 NovInformal leaders' meeting, IrelandScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
13 NovThird-quarter GDP flash estimateScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
13 NovSpain has no invested Prime Minister by 31 January 2027 after the 29 November snap election: Election campaign opens (to 27 Nov)Risk window(d) declaredNot rated
15 NovDeadline for 2027 nickel ore quota (RKAB) applicationsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
15 NovRDL 28/2026 takes effect if not voidedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
16 NovChina October activity data, 10:00 Beijing (preliminary date)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
16 NovAPK-N meeting (16-18 Nov) with 26.023 and related petitionsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
16 Nov49th ASEAN Summit, Manila (16-18 Nov)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
16 NovASEAN summit in the Philippines (16-18 Nov)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
16 NovEuropean Commission merger decision dueScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
16 NovASEAN summit in the Philippines, a possible signing venue (16-18 Nov)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
16 NovASEAN summit in the Philippines (16-18 Nov), a venue for both leadersScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
16 NovFortnightly review of fuel export dutiesScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
17 NovMinutes of the November meetingScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
17 NovFenno-Skan flow-reversal limit startsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
17 NovNational Assembly solemn vote on the whole 2027 budget bill (kept by the Conference of Presidents on 27 Oct)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
17 NovDeadline to elect Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Minister-President (four weeks after the Landtag met on 20 October)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
17 NovSolemn vote on the whole 2027 bill; deadline for the Assembly's first readingScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
17 NovJoint opposition rallyScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
17 NovAPEC CEO Summit, Shenzhen (17-18 Nov)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
17 NovRBZ Monetary Policy Committee; ZWG inflation was 3.7% in Sep 2026.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
18 Novto 19 NovAPEC Economic Leaders' Meeting, ShenzhenScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
18 Novto 19 NovAPEC leaders meet in ShenzhenScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
18 NovAPEC Economic Leaders' Meeting, Shenzhen (18-19 Nov)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
18 NovAPEC leaders' meeting in China (18-19 Nov), within the US President's proposed Asian scheduleScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
18 NovAPEC leaders' meeting in Shenzhen (18-19 Nov)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
18 NovAPEC leaders' meeting in Shenzhen, the other possible venue (18-19 Nov)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
18 NovOctober CPI releaseScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
18 NovAPEC leaders' week in Shenzhen (18-19 Nov); a Xi-Takaichi meeting is soughtScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
18 NovTrade statistics for October; September's deficit was 536.6bn yen, the fifth monthly deficit in a row.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
19 NovBulgarian 1,000 MW unit due backScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
19 NovMPC decisionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovWill US or Israeli forces strike Iran between 22 August and 20 November 2026?Our call(d) declaredHighOur call 61%
20 NovF-0074's window closes, 23:59 UTCScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovF-0074's window closes, 23:59 UTCScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovPublic sector finances, October 2026Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovCommission preliminary assessments to the EFC (indicative)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovStrature forecast F-0074 (renewed strike on Iran): 61% (21 Aug 2026) resolvesScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovThe registered strike forecast resolves.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
20 NovThe renewed-strike forecast resolves, at the start of the November-March rains.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
20 NovThe renewed-strike forecast resolves, after planting has begun with the rains.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
20 NovThe renewed-strike forecast resolves, in the middle of the planting window.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
20 NovIndia caps or halts diesel and jet fuel exports to protect its home market: Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026) (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran) resolvesSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovA new sulphur squeeze cuts Indonesia's battery-nickel output: Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026) (renewed strike on Iran) resolvesSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovIndia tightens cooking-gas rationing again: Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026) (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran) resolvesSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovIsraeli chip supply to Ireland stops for a month: F-0074 resolves (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran). Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovIndia's war-year subsidies push its deficit above the 4.3% target: Strature F-0074 (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran) resolves. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovBangladesh sheds 2,000 MW of power at peak again: Strature forecast F-0074 resolves. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovThe Egyptian pound loses a tenth of its value within three months: Strature forecast F-0074 resolves. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovThe Philippines declares a new national energy emergency over fuel: Strature forecast F-0074 resolves. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovPetrol stations run dry again in Vietnam's cities: F-0074 resolves. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovJapan's oil bill keeps its goods trade in deficit through March 2027: F-0074 resolves (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran). Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovSaudi crude to Poland falls to a trickle for a month: F-0074 (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran) resolves. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovPrague caps household power or gas prices again: F-0074 resolves (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran). Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovMalaysia raises its subsidised RON95 petrol price to RM2.20 a litre or more: Resolution date of Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026), a renewed US or Israeli strike on IranSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovGulf crude to the Netherlands stops for a month again: F-0074 resolves (a renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran). Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovThe US cuts off a UAE-licensed bank or exchange house over Iran: F-0074 resolves: renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovQatar keeps force majeure on Asian LNG past November 2026: Strature forecast F-0074 (a renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran): 61% (21 Aug 2026) resolvesSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovNew Zealand moves to phase 4 of its fuel plan: pump limits and priority users: Strature forecast F-0074 resolves (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran). Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovIran answers the IAEA's report to the Security Council by quitting the NPT: F-0074 (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran) resolves; Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovA fuel shortfall forces rolling power cuts in Taiwan: F-0074 resolves (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran). Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovIndonesia sends forces on an operation under its new "Badr" pact: Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026) (renewed strike on Iran) resolvesSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovFire from Lebanon into Israel resumes on seven or more days in a month: F-0074 resolves (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran). Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovItaly's Qatari LNG stays cut off into spring 2027: F-0074 (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran) resolves. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovAnother Greek-owned or Greek-flagged ship is hit or seized near Hormuz: Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026) (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran) resolvesSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovA cyberattack halts a UAE port, airport or energy site for a day: Strature F-0074 (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran) resolves. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovA helium shortfall forces chip output cuts in Taiwan or South Korea: Strature forecast F-0074 (a renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran): 61% (21 Aug 2026) resolvesSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovA Houthi attack hits Egypt or Egyptian forces: Strature forecast F-0074 resolves. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovFree of OPEC, the UAE pumps above 4 mb/d for a quarter: F-0074 resolves: renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovA Houthi strike cuts power or water to a Saudi city for two days: F-0074 resolves: renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovNorges Bank raises its policy rate to 4.75% or more: Strature F-0074 resolves. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovSaudi barrels return and Brent falls below US$70: F-0074 resolves: renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovAn Iran-linked attack stops Israeli chip fabs for a week: F-0074 resolves (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran); Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovAn Iranian strike halts a UAE port, plant or airport: F-0074 resolves: renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovEgypt cuts gas to its fertiliser plants for two weeks: Strature forecast F-0074 resolves. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovZeebrugge goes a winter quarter without Qatari or Russian LNG: F-0074 (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran) resolves. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovThe krone gives back its 2026 gains against the euro: Strature F-0074 resolves. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovPakistan's petrol or diesel stocks fall below 10 days: Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026) (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran) resolvesSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovThailand's state-managed diesel price reaches 50 baht a litre: F-0074 (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran) resolves. Strature forecast F-0074: 61% (21 Aug 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
20 NovThe Red Sea stays closed to most shipping: Houthi attacks, Bab el-Mandeb and the Suez Canal: Strature forecast F-0074 (renewed US or Israeli strike on Iran): 61% (21 Aug 2026) resolvesSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
Late Nov–Dec 2026IMF fourth EFF review: next tranche of about US$1.0bn.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
End Nov 2026QatarEnergy's force majeure to Asian buyers, extended through November (as reported).Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
22 NovMexico's 45-day review of GLM Components ends, if Mexico agreed (45 days from the US request; Strature's count)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
23 NovFirst 60-day term ends; it runs a further 60 days if Congress has not votedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
24 NovFinal vote on the 2027 budget (Chega seeks a VAT cut on fuel)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
24 NovFinal vote on Portugal's 2027 budgetScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
24 NovFinal vote on the 2027 budgetScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
24 NovPakistan's airspace ban on Indian aircraft runs to this date unless extended (PAA NOTAM A0590, as reported)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
24 NovBangladesh leaves the LDC group on 24 Nov 2026 without an extension: Scheduled graduation date (resolution 76/8)Risk window(d) declaredNot rated
25 NovOfgem announces the cap for 1 Jan-31 Mar 2027 (as reported, low-confidence source)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
25 NovGDP second estimate, Q3 2026Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
26 NovEU leaders' special summit on Ukraine's financing, 26-27 NovScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
26 NovSpecial European Council on the MFF, 26-27 Nov (tbc); Ukraine 2027 fundingScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
26 NovExtraordinary European Council on the 2028-2034 budget (26-27 Nov; reported)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
26 NovSpecial European Council on the MFF and Ukraine funding (26-27 Nov)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
26 NovExtraordinary European Council on the MFF, 26-27 Nov (draft agenda not confirmed)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
26 NovThe Bank of Korea raises its rate to 3.25% by year end: Monetary Policy Board rate decision, last of 2026Risk window(d) declaredNot rated
27 NovChina's gallium, germanium and antimony suspension endsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
27 NovLast day for parties' budget motions (reported)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
27 NovMexico's 45-day review of Carolina Performance Fabrics ends, if Mexico agreed (45 days from the US request; Strature's count)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
27 NovOfficial results declaredScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
27 NovBundestag final vote on the 2027 budgetScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
27 NovS&P review of France's ratingScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
27 NovS&P review of FranceScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
28 NovTaiwan local electionsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
28 NovTaiwan's local electionsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
28 NovLocal elections, 22 mayor and county postsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
28 NovLocal electionsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
29 NovSpain: snap general electionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
29 NovSpanish general electionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
29 NovSame-day votes on VAT for the AHV, the Fireworks Initiative and the Fairness InitiativeScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
29 NovReferendum vote on the War Material Act amendmentScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
29 NovGeneral electionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
29 NovGeneral election; border policy on the ballotScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
29 NovThe US adds a second Section 301 tariff on most Vietnamese goods: Six-month deadline for the IP determinationRisk window(d) declaredNot rated
30 NovFinance committee's budget recommendation dueScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
30 NovForce majeure for Asian buyers lapses unless extendedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
30 NovQatarEnergy force majeure on Asian and European deliveries runs to this dateScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
30 NovQatarEnergy force majeure on LNG runs to this dateScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
30 NovQatarEnergy force majeure notice runs to end of NovemberScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
30 NovQatarEnergy force majeure on deliveries to Asian buyers runs to this date; for Edison (Italy) it runs to early DecemberScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
30 NovQatarEnergy force majeure for Asian and European buyers runs to this date (press report)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
30 NovQatarEnergy force majeure runs to the end of November (reported)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
30 NovQatari LNG force majeure for Asian buyers lapses unless extendedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
30 NovSpence supervisors' contract endsScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
30 NovEnergy crisis state ends unless extended againScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
30 NovCGA accounts for April-October 2026Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
30 NovCommission's opinion on Italy's draft budgetary plan (by)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
30 NovPremier's target for third readingScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
30 NovThe Canada-ASEAN trade deal misses its November 2026 target: Window endsRisk window(d) declaredNot rated
Dec 2026First Simandou ore through the permanent crushers and port (Q4 2026)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Dec 2026Taipower rate review (12.83% proposal)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
1 DecEnd of the EU window for the 90% storage targetScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Dec 2026EU ban on systems that generate non-consensual intimate images applies (Regulation (EU) 2024/1689)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Dec 2026Remaining steps and offer conditions expected around year-endScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Draft FY2027 budget due by year-endScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026ANDA indicators with September deliveriesScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026IMF Extended Fund Facility ends; Gulf deposit lock ends with itScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026NSRP notifies the ministry of the turnaround planScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Edison's force majeure period runs to early DecemberScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Dec 2026Commission's first yearly review of Regulation 2025/2600Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026FY2027 budgetScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Edison's force majeure ends unless extended (early December)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Dec 2026Parliament's winter session may take up reserve financingScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Acid projects (pyrite and phosphogypsum) at a Huayou-backed HPAL plant dueScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Parliament votes on the 2027 budgetScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026G20 summit near Miami, with Tokayev invitedScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026National Council debates the package in the winter sessionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
1 DecHybrid cap to start, if EU procedures finishScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Fitch committee on the 2027 budgetScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Chamber and Senate votes on the 2027 budget lawScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Rosatom target to file licence applications for Units 3-5Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Niewiadow's target for serial production readiness (Q4 2026)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Temelin unit due back by mid-DecemberScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026China's December fuel export approvalsScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Moody's review (pattern from its December 2025 action)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Electricity rate review (12.83% proposal)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Dec 2026AfD's Ulrich Siegmund plans to stand for Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt; no date setScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Parliament's vote on the 2027 budgetScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Groundbreaking targetScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Cabinet decision on the pension draft (target)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Parliamentary working group decides the next term's consolidation sizeScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Exemption for UAE commercial flights to Algiers ends with the current contractScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 DecEU cap of 350,000 Chinese hybrids and plug-in hybrids a year starts, if EU procedures finishScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Last Monetary Board policy meeting of 2026Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 DecLatest sailing date for India's 1.7 Mt urea tender (moved from 15 Dec)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Dec 2026FY2027 budget: this year's outturn, against SAR1,202bn of revenue planned for next year.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
Early Dec 2026End of the current Edison force-majeure window.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026 (expected)Next CBK (central bank) rate decision; the CBR was held at 8.75% on 7 Oct 2026.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026The US lifts its Graham Act waiver and puts secondary tariffs on a buyer of Russian oil: End of the review of up to 60 days that Rubio described (reported)Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026–Feb 2027BCIC urea factory restarts and urea stocks before Boro planting.Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Finland cuts power to consumers for lack of electricity: Peak winter demand window opens (December to February; Strature's reading)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026A month-long stop in EU copper smelting or refining: End of the ramp-up window for the new Swedish tankhouse (H2 2026)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026The Lecornu government falls before France adopts its 2027 budget: Budget expected by year-end by ordinance or 49.3 (Allianz Trade baseline)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026New Zealand moves to phase 4 of its fuel plan: pump limits and priority users: IEA's expected fourth-quarter gasoil shortfall (Oct-Dec)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Merz's coalition breaks or faces a confidence vote: SPD leadership election (December or January, suggested by Klingbeil)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Hungary ends the Russian contract for the Paks II nuclear project: Government review of Paks II due to end (end of 2026 or early 2027)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026A court or regulator halts oil drilling off the Amazon mouth: TRF1 ruling on the MPF's urgent request (date not set; the Oct-Dec 2026 window is Strature's estimate)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Drone strikes on merchant ships off Bulgaria and Romania: Burgas refinery's secured crude supplies run out unless renewed (early December)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026Australia orders diesel rationing or allocation: IEA's expected fourth-quarter gasoil shortfall (Oct-Dec)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Dec 2026US natural gas (Henry Hub) averages US$5 per MMBtu or more in a winter month: NOAA winter outlook window, December 2026 to February 2027Risk window(d) declaredNot rated
2 DecDecember adjustment; levy cut falls to R1.50/lScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
3 DecReturn of the writsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
4 DecF-0073 and F-0074 scoredScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
4 DecF-0074 scoredScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
4 DecStatistics Canada 2026 crop estimatesScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
4 DecStatistics Canada survey-based 2026 crop estimatesScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
4 DecScope Ratings calendar date (not a scored agency)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
4 DecSection 232 polysilicon duty starts, Taiwan's total set at 15%Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
8 Decto 9 DecUS Federal Reserve: FOMC meeting with economic projectionsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
8 DecCanadian international merchandise trade, October dataScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
8 DecFOMC meeting (8-9 Dec); her lawyers offer a date after itScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
8 DecRBA Monetary Policy Board decision (meeting 7-8 Dec)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
8 DecEFC opinion on the preliminary assessments (indicative)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
8 DecStatistics Canada October 2026 trade release: the F-0215 data test (the August-October 2026 EU share of Canadian goods exports must be published for F-0215 to resolve). Strature forecast F-0215: 12.9% (4 Oct 2026)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
8 DecFOMC meeting with projections (8-9 Dec)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
8 DecCanadian trade data for September and October, the first full months under the new US duty.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
8 DecStatistics Canada trade data for September and October, the first full months under the 50% US duty on listed Canadian goods in force since 22 Aug 2026.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
8 DecUS trade data for the first months under the 50% US duty on listed Canadian goods: do US buyers switch origin?Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
8 DecCanadian import data by origin, monthly releases.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
8 DecUS trade data for Sep and Oct 2026: the first full months after the 50% duty on listed Canadian goods that can show US buyers moving to Mexican supply.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
8 DecThe next month's trade data: Q-022's confirmation point.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
8 DecCanadian trade data for September and October, early months under the new US duty.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
8 DecUS trade releases for Sep and Oct 2026: imports of listed Canadian goods in the first full months under the duty.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
8 DecCanadian trade data for September and October, the first full months under the 50% US duty on listed Canadian goods from 19 Aug 2026.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
8 DecCanadian trade data for September and October, early months under the US duty on listed Canadian goods in force since 22 Aug 2026.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
8 DecUnited States: the midterms and a year of policy whiplash on trade, the budget and the Fed: Canada trade data release confirms Q-022Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
8 DecThe US tariff wall around Canada and Mexico stays up or grows: Trade data confirming the Q-022 readingSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
9 DecBank of Canada rate announcementScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
9 DecFOMC decision with projections (8-9 Dec)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
9 DecFOMC decision (8-9 Dec)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
9 DecBank of Canada decisionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
9 DecMonetary Policy Statement and OCR decision (date as reported)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
9 DecRiksdag vote on the 2027 budget framework (reported)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
9 DecFOMC decision with projections; Bank of Canada decisionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
9 DecBank of Canada rate decisionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
9 DecRiksdag vote on the 2027 budget frame (reported)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
9 DecFOMC decision with projections (meeting 8-9 Dec)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 DecLast MPC meeting of 2026Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 DecNISR consumer prices: 17.2% in Sep 2026.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
11 DecStopgap funding ends; a vehicle for limit languageScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
11 DecStopgap funding endsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
11 DecGeneral Council (reform, MC14 follow-up), continues 14 DecScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
11 DecMoody's calendar date for FinlandScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
12 DecFunding gap begins without new lawScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
12 DecExtraordinary Diet session endsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
14 Decto 15 DecG20 leaders' summit, Doral (Miami)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
14 DecFMC comment deadline on proposed measures against SpainScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
15 DecMonetary policy meetingScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
15 DecCentral bank's next monetary policy meetingScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
17 DecEuropean Council, 17-18 Dec (Ukraine on the agenda of each meeting)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
17 DecEuropean Council, 17-18 Dec (MFF)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
17 DecECB monetary policy meeting, day 2Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
17 DecDecision and Monetary Policy Report 4/2026Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
17 DecMPC decisionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
17 DecNorges Bank decision and Monetary Policy Report 4/2026Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
17 DecBank of England MPC decisionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
17 DecThe Czech central bank lifts its main rate to 4.25% or higher: CNB monetary policy meetingRisk window(d) declaredNot rated
18 DecItaly's checks on the Slovenian border end unless renewedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
18 DecLast Bundestag sitting day of 2026Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
18 DecCommission payment decisions (indicative)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
18 DecBank of Russia key rate meetingScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
18 DecDeadline for diplomas to the elected (TSE calendar, relayed)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
23 DecGDP third estimate, Q3 2026Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
23 DecConstitutive sessions of the new Congress and SenateScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
23 DecNew Cortes meetScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
23 DecCongress turns Brazil's ban on fixed-odds betting into law by 31 Mar 2027: Congressional recess to 1 Feb 2027; the term's clock stopsRisk window(d) declaredNot rated
25 DecNew local officials sworn inScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
28 DecSweden Democrats take seats in the cabinet: Earliest date a government (not a caretaker) may decide on an extra election: three months after the 28 Sep first sitting (Strature calculation)Risk window(d) declaredNot rated
28 DecNo Prime Minister, and Sweden is forced into an extra election: Earliest date a government (not a caretaker) may decide on an extra election: three months after the 28 Sep first sitting (Strature calculation)Risk window(d) declaredNot rated
30 DecEUDR applies to large and medium operatorsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecDoes China's 2026 goods surplus pass the 2025 record, and does the US or the EU put a new broad trade-defence measure on Chinese goods by 31 Dec 2026?Our call(d) declaredNot ratedOur call 80%
31 DecWhere does the yuan stand against the US dollar at the end of 2026, on the US Federal Reserve's H.10 rate?Our call(d) declaredNot ratedOur call 50%
31 DecWill the long-form definitive agreements of the Labrador hydro programme still be unsigned on 31 December 2026?Our call(d) declaredLowOur call 60%
31 DecBy 31 December 2026, does the 50% duty on listed Canadian goods end, ease or last, and if it lasts, what happens to Canada's sales to the US on those lines?Our call(d) declaredHighOur call 28%
31 DecBy 31 December 2026, does an EU-Canada association track open, how many of the six drafted summit deals land, and does the EU's share of Canada's goods exports stay above its 2025 level?Our call(d) declaredLowOur call 47%
31 DecCouncil target for an MFF 2028-2034 deal; Strature F-0211 to F-0216 resolve. Strature forecast F-0211: 12% (4 Oct 2026); Strature forecast F-0212: 8% (4 Oct 2026); Strature forecast F-0213: 47% (4 Oct 2026); Strature forecast F-0214: 18.3% (4 Oct 2026); Strature forecast F-0215: 12.9% (4 Oct 2026); Strature forecast F-0216: 1.8% (4 Oct 2026)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecChina's tariff relief on Canadian canola meal, peas, lobsters and crabs endsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecOilseed wage deal ends ('paz social' for 2026)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecReduced fuel VAT endsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecEnd of Indonesia's transition under Permendag 16/2026Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecLast date for RRF paymentsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecEuropean Council's aim for MFF agreementScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecEnd of the minister's promise not to raise subsidised pricesScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecEU test on US steel and aluminium derivative tariffs above 15%Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecQuota allocation regulation (EU) 2026/1457 expiresScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecEnd of the 2026 budget year (outlook 2.85% of GDP)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecREINFO lapses unless extended or replacedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecEast Shield: over 200 km of sensitive sections securedScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecRussian side's hoped date for commercial agreements on Power of Baikal (Novak, 21 Oct 2026)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecDCIA goal for the Definitive Agreements (also the date F-0171 resolves). Strature forecast F-0171: 60% (1 Oct 2026)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecFuel excise cut and professional diesel aid endScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecMexico's and USTR's target to close the review or reach first arrangementsScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecEnd of the one-year US LPG supply deal for 2026 (end of 2026; no end date published)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecDeadline to apply as an approved IC designerScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecCanada's target to conclude Canada-Mercosur talksScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecCanada's stated target to conclude Canada-Mercosur talksScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecCanada's stated goal to conclude Canada-Mercosur talksScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecUNIFIL's final mandate ends; withdrawal during 2027Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecChina's tariff suspension on canola meal, peas, lobster and crab endsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecSupplementary budget lapses if not passedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecN-VA's date for a multi-year budget, after which it wants the debt brakeScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecEnd of the 2026 swap quota year (RMB2tn)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecCanada's remissions on some Chinese steel and aluminum products endScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecGovernment's aim to remove the triple lockScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecQ1 2027 tariff announced (quarterly revision, pattern of 30 Jun and 30 Sep releases)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecEnd of FAO's Oct-Dec 2026 hunger projection for government areas of YemenScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecCash Treasury clearing compliance dateScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecLatest date for the 2027 budget to be adoptedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecThe Q-027 forecasts on the EU share of Canada's exports resolve.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecKsi Lisims final investment decision, which its backers have targeted for the end of 2026 (Q-021 signpost; the project page gives no date); Santos's heads of agreement covers 8.3% of the plant's planned capacity.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecKsi Lisims LNG final investment decision, its published target (Q-021 signpost).Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecThe Q-022 scenarios resolve: the duty lasts or widens, 70%. C-006's F-0169 follows at the turn of the year: China's relief on peas, canola meal and seafood lapses, 30%. Our estimates, scored when they resolve.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecOur six Q-027 forecasts on the EU-Canada summit and the EU share resolve.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecThe Q-022 scenarios resolve: the duty lasts or widens in scenarios put at 70%, our estimate, scored when it resolves.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecUnited States: the midterms and a year of policy whiplash on trade, the budget and the Fed: Strature Q-022 resolvesSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecThe US dollar slides 10% on the Fed's broad index: Register yuan question F-0205 to F-0208 resolves on H.10. Strature forecast F-0205: 50% (2 Oct 2026); Strature forecast F-0206: 33% (2 Oct 2026); Strature forecast F-0207: 6% (2 Oct 2026); Strature forecast F-0208: 11% (2 Oct 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecThe US tariff wall around Canada and Mexico stays up or grows: Q-022 resolves: the 50% duty ends, eases or lastsSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecFrance's National Assembly votes down CETA, the EU-Canada trade deal: Q-027 forecasts resolve (association track)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecThe Canada-EU summit delivers none of its drafted deals by 31 Dec 2026: F-0215 resolves. Strature forecast F-0215: 12.9% (4 Oct 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecThe yuan falls back past 6.85 per US dollar: Strature key question KQ-24 “Where does the yuan stand against the US dollar at the end of 2026, on the US Federal Reserve's H.10 rate?” resolves on the end-2026 H.10 rate (F-0205 to F-0208). Strature forecast F-0205: 50% (2 Oct 2026); Strature forecast F-0206: 33% (2 Oct 2026); Strature forecast F-0207: 6% (2 Oct 2026); Strature forecast F-0208: 11% (2 Oct 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
31 DecCanada's reported target date to conclude the Mercosur talks (press report).Opportunity(t) tentativeNot rated
31 DecQatar keeps force majeure on Asian LNG past November 2026: Ksi Lisims LNG's final investment decision, expected before the end of 2026 (company)Opportunity(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanOn 1 January 2027, with no renewal announced, does China's pre-relief tariff apply again to Canadian peas, canola meal or seafood?Our call(d) declaredLowOur call 30%
1 JanThreatened 50% US tariff on Canadian cars, trucks and auto partsScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
2027Italian general election dueScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanPlanned start of income tax reliefScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanIndonesia's state-exporter rule for palm oil takes full effectScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
1 JanThreatened US auto tariff on Canada (F-0167). Strature forecast F-0167: 40% (1 Oct 2026)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanPossible 15% Section 232 duty on refined copperScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
2027French legislative elections, likely after the presidential voteScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanSuccessor ordinance under the revised Electricity Supply Act due to replace the Winter Reserve OrdinanceScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
2027Panama's new tender for Balboa and Cristobal (month not set)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanBan on Russian LNG under long-term contracts appliesScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Jan 2027GDP advance estimate, Q4 2026 (date to be announced)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027Leaders' target to conclude the FIPA (early 2027, Jan-Mar)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
2027Fitburg trial (no date set)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027December 2026 figures, completing 4Q 2026Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanQ1 2027 tariff takes effectScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
1 JanBudget year 2027 begins; without a budget the Riksdag decides interim appropriationsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
1 JanBan on Russian LNG under long-term contractsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
1 JanNew cap period startsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Jan 2027Westlake Cologne plant to stop in Q1 2027 (does not count)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
2027The Pomalaa HPAL plant reaches full outputScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanSection 232: upholstered wood furniture to 30%, cabinets and vanities to 50%, unless a country deal intervenesScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Jan 2027China's customs publishes the full-year 2026 surplusScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027Austria starts its UN Security Council term (2027-2028)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Jan 2027President's 7-day signing window for the 2027 budget act, after the Sejm votes on Senate amendments on 15 Jan 2027Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanBrazil's tariff on imported car kits (CKD) rises to 35%Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Jan 2027Strong El Niño likely to persist to MarchScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 Jan2027 budget in force (US$75 oil assumption)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
2027Congress votes the 2027 budget (PLOA)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanNext quarterly quota window opensScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Jan 2027Austria starts its Security Council termScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Jan 2027Rio Tinto fourth-quarter operations review (January 2027; date not yet published)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027CREG reconfiguration auctionScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027TSMC fourth-quarter resultsScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanOnly state-owned exporters may ship palm oil from IndonesiaScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
2027Eighth review preliminary results (month not set)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanProposed start of a 15% duty on refined copperScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027SCA full-year 2026 revenue against its US$5.8-6bn expectationScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 Jan2027 budget in forceScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
1 JanEU ban on Russian LNG under long-term contracts appliesScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Jan 2027EU-China ministerial video conference (topics not stated)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
2027Italian general electionScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 Jan2027 Barents Sea quotas apply from the start of the quota yearScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 Jan2027 budget in force, deficit 2.4% of GDPScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
1 JanThreatened US auto tariffs on Canada could start (C-006)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027Treasury's next foreign-exchange report (January/July pattern of 2026)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027January price data with regulated price resetsScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 Jan50% on Canadian cars, trucks, parts and steel threatened from this date (US President, 24 Aug 2026)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanEU ban on Russian LNG under long-term contracts applies (Regulation (EU) 2026/261)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
2027Rescheduled Future Investment Initiative, date to be announcedScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanCalendar year 2027 eligibility startsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Jan 2027Advance estimate for 4Q 2026Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
2027Spending review (date not set)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027Customs cocaine figures for 2026, expected in January as in the last two yearsScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 Jan2027 budget law takes effectScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Jan 2027End of ENFEN's extraordinary-magnitude windowScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
2027Yield-loss reference period lengthened from five to eight years, from the 2027 campaignScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
1 JanUpdated benchmarks and the 20% default-value uplift applyScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Jan 2027New supplier price lists and regulated prices for 2027Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027Visayas batteries and power barges due (first quarter)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
2027Meetings on the 2027 calendarScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027Full-year 2026 output dataScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
2027ADNOC 5 mb/d capacity target; West-East line in serviceScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
2027Planned east Greenland test well (company plan)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027MPA annual port performance for 2026Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
2027West-East pipeline to Fujairah expected in serviceScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanUAE departure formally takes effect under OPEC statutes; OPEC may stop reporting UAE outputScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanProvisional twelfths start if no 2027 budget lawScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanSection 232: upholstered furniture to 30%, kitchen cabinets and vanities to 50%Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
2027USMCA annual joint review meetingScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanGas tariff (TUR) raw-material increase capped at 15%Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
Jan 2027Meri-Pori coal plant returns to the market (early 2027)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027December-quarter CPI release (month expected; not sourced)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027ReCAAP ISC annual report 2026Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
2027Final MOFCOM ruling on Japanese dichlorosilaneScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027EU-China ministerial video conferenceScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
2027Target to reach 14 days of LNG storageScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027MoF data for December 2026Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
Q1 2027The damaged gas-to-liquids line is due back.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanWhether the threatened 50% US duty on Canadian vehicles takes effect (F-0167).Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027ASML full-year results and sales by region.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
Q1 2027Return of the damaged Ras Laffan gas-to-liquids line, reported as due (press report).Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanThe date from which tariffs on Canadian vehicles are threatened (C-006).Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
2027Profert's domestic-content floor for fertiliser starts at 2%, rising to 10% by 2037.Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027Malaysia raises its subsidised RON95 petrol price to RM2.20 a litre or more: BUDI95 monthly usage reports (Strature's watch item)Signpost(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanChina's tariffs on Canadian canola meal, peas, lobster and crab return on 1 January 2027: F-0169 resolves. Strature forecast F-0169: 30% (1 Oct 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
Jan 2027Iraqi crude through Ceyhan falls back below 0.4 mb/d for 30 days: Iraq's 2027 federal budget in parliament, with the KRG export quota (window Nov 2026 - Jan 2027)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027Russia blocks or takes control of an EU bank's Russian unit: Jan-Jul 2027: expected enforcement in Austria of an EU bank's claim over a Russian court award (6-12 months from 23 Jul 2026)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
2027A court ruling halts the EU-Mercosur trade deal: Judgment in C-460/26 Poland v Council (date not set; may fall in 2028)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027Russia blocks or takes control of an EU bank's Russian unit: Jan-Jun 2027: planned closing of an approved sale of an EU bank's Russian unitRisk window(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanEngland's drought carries into 2027 with a ban on non-essential water use: Window for the event opensRisk window(d) declaredNot rated
2027Poland lays anti-personnel mines on its eastern border: East Shield's full intensification year, per the ministryRisk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027El Niño's dry season forces the Panama Canal to cut drafts again: NOAA strong El Niño window, January-March 2027Risk window(d) declaredNot rated
Jan 2027A strike halts Gran Rosario grain shipments for three days or more: 2027 oilseed wage round (Jan-Jun 2027; Strature's estimate from the Dec 2025 and May-Jun 2026 rounds)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
2027A court ruling halts the EU-Mercosur trade deal: Court opinion 1/26, at least a year after the January 2026 referral, or 2028 (date not set)Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
Jan 2027Indonesian fire haze returns to Singapore at unhealthy levels in 2027: Strong El Nino likely to persist through January-March 2027Risk window(t) tentativeNot rated
2027Start-up of the West-East pipeline.Opportunity(t) tentativeNot rated
1 JanThe threatened US tariff on Canadian vehicles could start (F-0167).Opportunity(t) tentativeNot rated
2027First deliveries under the ADNOC LNG deal.Opportunity(t) tentativeNot rated
2027Woodfibre LNG start-up.Opportunity(t) tentativeNot rated
2027Woodfibre in service, Enbridge's expected date.Opportunity(t) tentativeNot rated
2027First deliveries under the Cameco contract.Opportunity(t) tentativeNot rated
2027First Shell LNG deliveries.Opportunity(t) tentativeNot rated
2027The Canada-ASEAN trade deal misses its November 2026 target: Planned signing of ACAFTAOpportunity(t) tentativeNot rated
3 JanNew Congress convenes (noon, unless a law sets another day)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 JanNew Congress assembles (20th Amendment, unless a law sets another day)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
3 JanTwo sanctions bills lapse unless enactedScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
4 JanCBAM certificate price for Q4 2026 publishedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
5 JanLula's new term begins (Constitutional Amendment 111)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
5 JanLevy relief endsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
5 JanPresidential inauguration (Constitutional Amendment 111 of 2021)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
5 JanFuel levy relief endsScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
7 JanMOFCOM DCS anti-dumping probe due to end, 12 months after its 7 Jan 2026 opening (extendable six months)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
9 JanProposed end of the extended maritime Section 301 suspensionScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
10 JanOn 10 Jan 2027, are China's suspension of its October-2025 export controls and the US suspension of the Affiliates Rule both still in effect, and for how long: a short roll-over, a longer settlement, or have both lapsed?Our call(d) declaredNot ratedOur call 63%
10 JanOn 10 Jan 2027, does the truce run on free, at a price in China's exports or the yuan, or has it lapsed or been hit by a broad US or EU measure?Our call(d) declaredLowOur call 68%
10 JanBy 10 Jan 2027, does a US tariff increase on all or substantially all Chinese goods, above the rate in force on 2 Oct 2026, take effect?Our call(d) declaredNot ratedOur call 10%
10 JanBy 10 Jan 2027, does China halt rare-earth permanent-magnet export licences to US or EU buyers generally, not only to named entities?Our call(d) declaredNot ratedOur call 4%
10 JanUS-China trade truce ends (extended from 10 Nov 2026)Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 JanExtended US-China truce dateScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
10 JanUS-China truce ends unless extended (reported)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
10 JanUS-China Kuala Lumpur arrangement expires unless extendedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 JanUS-China trade truce (the Kuala Lumpur joint arrangement, extended to this date per MOFCOM) ends unless extended againScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 JanUS-China truce terms end unless extendedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 JanUS-China truce ends unless extendedScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
10 JanThe US puts new sanctions on officials over Hong Kong: US-China truce date the register tracksSignpost(d) declaredNot rated
10 JanThe US puts Graham Act secondary tariffs on Chinese goods over Russian oil: Extended Kuala Lumpur arrangement ends; Strature forecast F-0209: 10% (2 Oct 2026) resolvesSignpost(t) tentativeNot rated
10 JanJapan or China puts new export controls on chip materials or tools aimed at the other: Resolution date of Strature key question KQ-26 “By 10 Jan 2027, does China halt rare-earth permanent-magnet export licences to US or EU buyers generally, not only to named entities?” / F-0210. Strature forecast F-0210: 4% (2 Oct 2026)Signpost(d) declaredNot rated
11 JanFirst Bundestag sitting week of 2027Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
11 Janto 30 SepRegistered window: Between 11 Jan 2027 and 30 Sep 2029, does a US proclamation or Federal Register notice raise the additional tariff on all or substantially all Chinese-origin goods above the rate in force on 10 Jan 2027?Risk window(d) declaredLow
12 JanDeadline for comments before the 2027 USMCA joint reviewScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
12 JanComment deadline, 2027 USMCA joint reviewScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
12 JanUSTR comments due for the 2027 trade-pact reviewScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
12 JanComments due on the 2027 USMCA joint reviewScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
12 JanComments due for the 2027 CUSMA joint reviewScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
15 JanConsultation on NOU 2026: 11 closesScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
21 JanFirst MPC meeting of 2027Scheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
21 JanPolicy rate decisionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
26 JanFOMC meeting (26-27 Jan)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
27 JanBank of Canada decision and Monetary Policy ReportScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
27 JanFOMC decision (26-27 Jan, tentative until confirmed)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
27 JanBank of Canada rate decisionScheduled event(d) declaredNot rated
27 JanFOMC decision (26-27 Jan)Scheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated
28 JanMPC decisionScheduled event(t) tentativeNot rated

SourceStrature forecast register, our country readings, the world-risk cards and outside events, each item with its own source.

Exhibit R-C · CALENDAR · strature.net

How to read it

(d) declared: an official date or our registered date. (t) tentative: expected, announced by one side, or a period our readings name. Significance follows the Top 10 value (our probability times the countries our readings rate High or Medium): High at 10 or more, Medium from 1, Low under 1. Items without a Top 10 value are not rated.

Our calls are sealed before release and scored when they resolve; see the forecast register. Every outside event names its source. Forecasts are general research on public events and policy; they are not investment, legal or tax advice.