Kuwait cuts power to parts of the country again
The test Between 3 Nov 2026 and 3 Nov 2027, Kuwait's Ministry of Electricity, Water and Renewable Energy announces or carries out scheduled power cuts to any residential, farm or industrial area because supply cannot meet demand, as the ministry or two sources report.
Not under way · Confidence: medium · Reviewed 3 Nov 2026 · Scores from 1 to 10
This page answers: What could happen, how it is scored, and who is exposed?
Using this page
- Read the two scores: Likelihood and Impact are kept apart.
- Check what is happening, each fact with its source.
- Use the calendar for the dates to watch.
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Impact is the average of the four parts, rounded, plus one point when Canada is directly hit on two or more channels, up to 10.
Two separate scales from 1 to 10. Strature never multiplies or merges them.
Why it matters
Kuwait used scheduled power cuts for the first time in June 2024 and cut power to rural and industrial areas again in April 2025. In 2026 Iranian attacks hit generation and desalination plants and delayed maintenance, and factories were halted at peak hours. Against that, peak demand has fallen two years running.
Why Likelihood 5 Recurring event: scheduled cuts twice in 36 months and a near miss in 2026 (factories stopped at peak), so not below 3. Pushes: war damage to plants and delayed maintenance; experts' warnings on slow plant building. Brakes: two years of lower peaks; conservation that worked in 2026.
The other facts on file (3)
Where it sits
How it spreads
Sample, no data on file. No cited flows by country on file for this risk.
Between 3 Nov 2026 and 3 Nov 2027, Kuwait's Ministry of Electricity, Water and Renewable Energy announces or carries out scheduled power cuts to any residential, farm or industrial area because supply cannot meet demand, as the ministry or two sources report.
Not under wayChannels 4 on the card
Three scenarios and their signposts
- S1
Cuts again
Peak demand in summer 2027 outruns damaged and ageing plants; the ministry schedules cuts.
- S2
Squeaks through
Repairs, imports and conservation keep supply above demand.
- S3
Worse
New strikes on plants force cuts to residential areas beyond peak hours.
| Path | Signpost |
|---|---|
| S1 | A ministry schedule of affected areas in May-August 2027 |
| S2 | A ministry statement that no cuts are planned for summer 2027 |
| S3 | An attack on a Kuwaiti power or desalination plant |
No probability is given for the three paths.
Dates to watch
The dates to watch
A dot is a day, a bar a month or a year; a hollow mark is tentative. The line marks today.
- Jun 2027 Start of Kuwait's peak summer demand [1] Tentative · Outside event
- 31 Aug 2027 End of the summer peak season [4] Tentative · Outside event
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Connected in Strature
- Kuwait
- An Iranian strike halts a Kuwaiti refinery, terminal or water plant Driven by: A strike on a power or desalination plant would force cuts.
- Kuwait borrows from its Future Generations Fund Shares a channel: Repairs and power purchases add to the deficit.
Sources
5 sources, numbered as the text cites them
- Kuwait to cut power as demand spikes in summer heat. Oman Observer (AFP) · 20 Jun 2024 · News · confidence medium · retrieved 3 Nov 2026
- Kuwait Implements Systematic Power Cuts to Reduce Load on Grid. Asharq Al-Awsat · 21 Jun 2024 · News · confidence medium · retrieved 3 Nov 2026
- Kuwait cuts power to some rural areas and industries as it prepares plants for summer. The National · 3 Apr 2025 · News · confidence medium · retrieved 3 Nov 2026
- Energy conservation helps cut Kuwait summer power peak to 17,540 MW. Kuwait Times · 15 Sep 2026 · News · confidence medium · retrieved 3 Nov 2026
- Fitch Affirms Kuwait at 'AA-'; Outlook Stable. Fitch Ratings (published by the Central Bank of Kuwait) · 7 Aug 2026 · Industry · confidence high · retrieved 3 Nov 2026
Reviewed 3 Nov 2026 · version 1 · last change: Likelihood 6 to 5 · All risks