Our standing estimate
Three outcomes that together make 100%. Our estimate, scored when it resolves.
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No: Bell's hub becomes binding
74% · likely · confidence not registered
The documents read on 30 Jun 2027 show it did not happen in the window.
F-0436 · Open
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Bell's hub becomes binding
20% · unlikely · confidence not registered
Bell Canada or the Government of Saskatchewan publishes, dated 15 Sep 2026 to 30 Jun 2027, a binding (definitive) agreement for Bell's Saskatchewan expansion, or the expansion's environmental impact assessment is filed with the province (shown on the provincial registry or in a party's own dated statement).
F-0435 · Open
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Not settled: Bell's hub becomes binding
6% · very unlikely · confidence not registered
The record read on 30 Jun 2027 does not settle whether it happened in the window (a document undated, unreadable, or not clearly tied to the line).
F-0437 · Open
The situation when it was sealed (10 Nov 2026). Bell's Saskatchewan expansion counts here only once a binding (definitive) agreement is published or its environmental impact assessment is filed with the province.