Between noon on 3 Jan 2027 and noon on 20 Jan 2029, does the Senate, by rule change or a floor precedent, let fewer than three fifths of senators sworn end debate on legislation?

How it moved

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Reassessments

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Signposts

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No signpost is published for this question yet.

Why it matters, by category

Countries it touches

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• United States

How it resolves

The registered words that decide each forecast, quoted unchanged.

• F-0411

  “Resolves if: Between noon 3 Jan 2027 and noon 20 Jan 2029 the Senate, by rule change or by a precedent set on a floor vote, lets cloture on legislation be invoked by fewer than three fifths of senators sworn.”

• F-0412

  “Resolves if: The documents published by 2029-02-20 show that this did NOT happen in its window: Between noon 3 Jan 2027 and noon 20 Jan 2029 the Senate, by rule change or by a precedent set on a floor vote, lets cloture on legislation be invoked by fewer than three fifths of senators sworn.”

• F-0413

  “Resolves if: The record published by 2029-02-20 does not settle whether this happened in its window: Between noon 3 Jan 2027 and noon 20 Jan 2029 the Senate, by rule change or by a precedent set on a floor vote, lets cloture on legislation be invoked by fewer than three fifths of senators sworn.”