Between noon on 3 Jan 2027 and noon on 20 Jan 2029, is a bill or joint resolution that ends, limits or defunds US hostilities against Iran enacted, signed or passed over a veto?

How it moved

Each point is a sealed register row. There is one sealed estimate for each outcome so far: a new point is added only when we register a new estimate, and the old one stays listed and scored.

Reassessments

No reassessment yet.

Signposts

What the brief says would move the view, quoted from it.

No signpost is published for this question yet.

Why it matters, by category

Countries it touches

The countries our register links to these forecasts, most often linked first.

• United States

How it resolves

The registered words that decide each forecast, quoted unchanged.

• F-0393

  “Resolves if: A bill or joint resolution that ends, limits or defunds US hostilities against Iran (a funding limitation in an enacted appropriations act included) is enacted, signed or passed over a veto, between noon 3 Jan 2027 and noon 20 Jan 2029.”

• F-0394

  “Resolves if: The documents published by 2029-02-20 show that this did NOT happen in its window: A bill or joint resolution that ends, limits or defunds US hostilities against Iran (a funding limitation in an enacted appropriations act included) is enacted, signed or passed over a veto, between noon 3 Jan 2027 and noon 20 Jan 2029.”

• F-0395

  “Resolves if: The record published by 2029-02-20 does not settle whether this happened in its window: A bill or joint resolution that ends, limits or defunds US hostilities against Iran (a funding limitation in an enacted appropriations act included) is enacted, signed or passed over a veto, between noon 3 Jan 2027 and noon 20 Jan 2029.”